Economy

Insights, research, and analysis on breaking economic news and market trends.

Do you think the U.S. economy will ever return to normal?

Vanguard Chief Economist, Joe Davis looks at economic growth trends and what they might mean for the future. Read More...
55 Comments

Recent Posts

The adoption of a great idea

Joe Davis and Andy Clarke collaborated on this post, the result of a conversation about research that Vanguards Investment Strategy Group has conducted on the adoption and economic impact of "great ideas." Read More...
2 Comments

What do you see as the next market bubble?

Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis explains how to spot a market bubble. Read More...
5 Comments

How concerned are you about inflation?

What does the future hold for inflation? Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis talks about which indicators to watch. Read More...
7 Comments

REITs: A word of caution

In my past post on dividend-paying stocks, some of you responded with questions about REITs (real estate investment trusts). You asked whether REITs are effective “bond substitutes,” whether they are a “defensive” equity investment, whether they’re good short-term hedges …

 Read More...
40 Comments

Look beyond the fiscal cliff

The nation’s near-term focus is on the “fiscal cliff,” the slate of expiring tax cuts and automatic spending reductions that will be triggered at the end of 2012 if leaders in Washington fail to reach a budget agreement. The debate …

 Read More...
105 Comments

Put your tie-dye away: It’s not the ’70s

Any long-term investor knows that inflation is the enemy. A spike in inflation can drastically reduce your real investment returns, particularly for fixed income securities. At present, yields on many Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are negative, a clear reflection of …

 Read More...
9 Comments

The outlook for bonds: Are the good times about to end?

U.S. interest rates today are clearly low and below historical long-term averages. Recalling the double-digit rates of the 1970s and early 1980s, I still find it somewhat astonishing that the yields on a broadly diversified basket of high-quality bonds (whether …

 Read More...
240 Comments

Global contagion: Europe’s next export?

In the summer at the beach as a boy, I used to dig in the sand and dream of finding pirate treasure. Old silver and gold coins from Spain and other parts of Europe that may have once washed upon …

 Read More...
11 Comments

Why investors should ignore the Fed

On December 16, 2008, the Federal Reserve cut its target for the shortest-term interest rate to nearly 0%. The Fed’s bold policy action was one of many aggressive steps taken to stabilize global financial markets and a U.S. economy that …

 Read More...
45 Comments

Why I still own Treasuries

Bond funds have generally been on a total return “tear” the past several years, given the sharp decline in U.S. Treasury yields.

Bond fund cash flows have been solid, especially into corporate and municipal bond funds, which tend to carry …

 Read More...
55 Comments

1 2 3Next>

Visit vanguard.com or contact your broker to obtain a Vanguard ETF or fund prospectus which contains investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other information; read and consider carefully before investing.

Vanguard ETF Shares are not redeemable with the issuing Fund other than in Creation Unit aggregations. Instead, investors must buy or sell Vanguard ETF Shares in the secondary market with the assistance of a stockbroker. In doing so, the investor may incur brokerage commissions and may pay more than net asset value when buying and receive less than net asset value when selling.

Investments in bond funds are subject to interest rate, credit, and inflation risk.

Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market.

Foreign investing involves additional risks including currency fluctuations and political uncertainty.

Stocks of companies in emerging markets are generally more risky than stocks of companies in developed countries.

An investment in a money market fund is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Although a money market fund seeks to preserve the value of your investment at $1 per share, it is possible to lose money by investing in such a fund.

All investing is subject to risk, including possible loss of principal.

Vanguard Marketing Corporation, Distributor