Joe Davis

Joe Davis

Joe Davis, Ph.D., is Vanguard's chief economist and head of Vanguard Investment Strategy Group, whose research team is responsible for helping to oversee Vanguard's investment methodologies and asset allocation strategies for both institutional and individual investors. In addition, Joe is a member of the senior portfolio management team for Vanguard Fixed Income Group, which oversees more than $500 billion in assets under management. Joe frequently presents at various investment forums and has published studies on a variety of macroeconomic and investment topics in leading academic journals. Joe earned his Ph.D. in macroeconomics and finance at Duke University.

Recent blog posts by Joe Davis

Economy & markets

China won’t export housing crisis

In the Chinese city of Ordos, empty skyscrapers loom over largely empty roads, empty town plazas, and empty schools. It’s China’s best-known ghost town. The empty buildings in Ordos and other places—started as part of an ambitious government plan to … Read more

Economy & markets

Invest like a Vulcan

Chief economist’s log, stardate 62014.1

Okay, everybody, don your pointy ears. We’re going to boldly go where (I’m guessing) no investment company has gone before. We’re going to talk about how wise long-term investing is like Vulcan investing.

I’ve always … Read more

Economy & markets

Where is the market undervalued?

Municipal bonds and emerging markets have not seen the same rally as U.S. stocks and may hold a greater risk premium, Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis says.… Read more

Economy & markets

Is there a gorilla in our midst?

In a famous experiment, psychologists Christopher Chabris and Daniel Simons asked people to watch a video of people playing basketball and count the number of passes. Technically, the answer is 15, but that misses the point of the experiment. … Read more

Economy & markets

The “real-feel” unemployment rate

The current employment rate really doesn’t truly represent the amount of slack in the economy, Chief Economist Joe Davis says.… Read more
Economy & markets

The Fed gets a new captain

The Federal Reserve is going to be led by a remarkable economist, but Janet Yellen still faces challenges. Policy will evolve, says Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis.… Read more
Economy & markets

A look back before looking ahead

I learned early in my life that humility is an important virtue regardless of the endeavor. Receiving the occasional B when I had expected an A or enduring a loss when my team was a heavy favorite taught me that … Read more

Economy & markets

Bond risk: A theory of relativity

Risk is a relative term. If someone asked you to set aside $150 a month, possibly with no return on your investment, you’d probably say, “No way!” Yet what if you knew the alternative was losing your home and all … Read more

Economy & markets

The Fed’s “great escape”

In the great inspirational movie The Shawshank Redemption, Tim Robbins plays Andy Dufresne, a man facing seemingly impossible odds: Wrongly imprisoned for life, former banker Andy has only the books in the paltry prison library, his love of carving … Read more

Investing

A pat on the back

I believe that, as investors, we all deserve some applause. The past six years have been trying and volatile. In this very challenging environment, it hasn’t been easy to stick to your asset allocation or portfolio decisions. Vanguard has tried … Read more

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Investments in bond funds are subject to interest rate, credit, and inflation risk.

Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market.

Foreign investing involves additional risks including currency fluctuations and political uncertainty.

Stocks of companies in emerging markets are generally more risky than stocks of companies in developed countries.

An investment in a money market fund is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Although a money market fund seeks to preserve the value of your investment at $1 per share, it is possible to lose money by investing in such a fund.

All investing is subject to risk, including possible loss of principal.

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